The Missing Ingredient in NZ’s Crisis Planning

Victoria Mulligan for interest.co.nz, 4 May 2026

Recently the finance minister gathered a group of journalists in her office to share new scenarios released by the Treasury. Her briefing was a welcome, novel approach to uncertainty that said: “here's what we know, here's what might happen next, and here's how we're preparing for it”.

The Treasury document explored three pathways, from short-lived disruption through to prolonged and severe conflict, each carrying different consequences for oil prices, inflation, growth and unemployment. It was designed to answer some big national questions, but the process behind it is instructive for any business leader looking to what the future holds for their own organisation. READ MORE